Denis Shapovalov vs Adam WaltonIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
Shapovalov D.
6-3 6-2
Walton A.
Shapovalov D.
662
Walton A.
320

Denis Shapovalov defeated Adam Walton 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14Los CabosSFhardDenis Shapovalov6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Walton A.
25
Serve
35
70
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
65
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Dominant
71
20
Deciding sets·Even
92
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1669
6.7Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.0
Surface form
7.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.6
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
62

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%