James Duckworth vs Adrian MannarinoLos Cabos Round of 32

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 32
#79ATP
1628ELO
1592Hard ELO
$485kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
34 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Duckworth J.
6-3 6-4
Mannarino A.
Duckworth J.
662
Mannarino A.
340

James Duckworth defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-4 in the Los Cabos round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Adrian Mannarino came in ranked #40, leading the head-to-head 3–1. James Duckworth narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-05DallasQFhardAdrian Mannarino6-2 3-1 RET
2022-01-17Australian OpenR128hardAdrian Mannarino6-4 2-6 3-6 6-2 6-1
2021-06-07StuttgartR32grassJames Duckworth6-3 6-2
2016-07-11NewportR32grassAdrian Mannarino6-7(3) 7-6(5) 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Duckworth J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Duckworth J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Duckworth J.Mannarino A.
25
Serve
37
23
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.2
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
54
65
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Dominant
4
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1592
Surface ELO
5.5+55 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1673
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
1.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
0.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
69

Duckworth J.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast