Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Matteo ArnaldiWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#54ATP
1743ELO
1595Grass ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
grass
#35ATP
1830ELO
1630Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-6 7-6 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Van De Zandschulp B.
777763
Arnaldi M.
646540

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 7-6 6-4 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35, defending last year's round of 128. Botic Van De Zandschulp extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-17Winston-SalemR32hardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-3 6-3
2023-11-23Davis Cup Finals QF: ITA vs NEDRRhardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(7)

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve advantage — Van De Zandschulp B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.1
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (78 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
77
78
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Clear edge
68
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
78
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5Grass Elo 1595
Surface ELO
4.5+35 Grass Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.6
Surface form
3.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
2.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
95

Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 43%
R128
Basilashvili N.[6]
Musetti L.[7]
6-24-67-56-1
Moutet C.
Comesana F.[1]
6-46-46-2
Martinez P.[19]
Loffhagen G.
2-66-26-46-2
Holmgren A.[24]
Halys Q.
7-646-36-4
Quinn E.
Searle H.
4-66-27-6116-2
Tarvet O.
Riedi L.
6-46-46-4
Harris B.
Lajovic D.
6-36-26-4
Sonego L.
Faria J.
6-36-46-2
Mensik J.[15]
Gaston H.
6-14-66-26-2
Darderi L.[14]
Safiullin R.
7-631-66-726-36-1
Khachanov K.[19]
Mcdonald M.
7-56-46-4
Mochizuki S.
Zeppieri G.
2-63-66-37-667-5
Nakashima B.[28]
Yunchaokete B.[3]
6-44-67-616-4
Paul T.[21]
Monday J.
6-46-46-2
Djokovic N.[7]
Muller A.
6-16-776-26-2
Tiafoe F.[17]
Moller E.
6-36-46-2
Tien L.[16]
Basavareddy N.
7-656-36-2
Bonzi B.
Medvedev D.[8]
7-623-67-636-2
Shelton B.[4]
Bolt A.
6-47-617-64
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
Duckworth J.
6-23-66-726-46-4
Rinderknech A.[25]
Zverev A.[2]
7-636-786-36-756-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Arnaldi M.[32]
7-647-656-4
Rublev A.[12]
Djere L.
6-07-656-797-66
Borges N.
Cerundolo F.[18]
4-66-37-656-0
Monfils G.
Humbert U.[27]
6-43-66-757-56-2
Pinnington Jones J.
Etcheverry T.[29]
7-646-37-5
Norrie C.[26]
Bautista Agut R.
6-33-66-47-63
De Minaur A.[5]
Carballes Baena R.
6-26-27-62
Lehecka J.[13]
Dellien H.
4-66-26-27-60
Dimitrov G.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-36-4
Fery A.
Popyrin A.[20]
6-46-14-66-4
Fonseca J.[24]
Fearnley J.
6-46-17-65
Cobolli F.[9]
Zhukayev B.
6-37-676-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Holt B.
6-26-47-5
Ofner S.
Medjedovic H.
7-683-1
Draper J.[4]
Baez S.
6-26-22-1
Royer V.
Tsitsipas S.[24]
6-36-2
Harris L.
Bergs Z.
7-677-626-756-2
Opelka R.
Shevchenko A.
6-37-57-64
Giron M.
Ugo Carabelli C.
7-667-646-3
De Jong J.
Eubanks C.
6-36-756-776-37-63
Diallo G.
Altmaier D.
6-16-26-4
Munar J.
Bublik A.[10]
6-43-64-67-656-2
Garin C.
Rodesch C.
7-686-46-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Fognini F.
7-56-757-52-66-1
Struff J.
Misolic F.
6-25-76-36-3
Jarry N.
Rune H.[8]
4-64-67-56-36-4
Hijikata R.
Goffin D.
6-36-16-1
Machac T.[21]
Dzumhur D.
6-36-26-4
Fucsovics M.
Kovacevic A.
6-36-756-15-76-4
Navone M.
Shapovalov D.[27]
3-66-46-16-4
Brooksby J.
Griekspoor T.[31]
6-27-56-3
Cazaux A.
Walton A.
6-37-664-66-756-1
Sinner J.[1]
Nardi L.
6-46-36-0
Majchrzak K.
Berrettini M.[32]
4-66-26-45-76-3
Thompson J.
Kopriva V.
3-64-66-37-616-1
Evans D.
Clarke J.
6-17-56-2
Vukic A.
Tseng C.
6-36-44-67-65
Marozsan F.
Mccabe J.
6-16-46-3
Bellucci M.
Crawford O.
6-726-36-46-4
Mannarino A.
Oconnell C.
6-26-46-3
Kecmanovic M.
Michelsen A.[30]
6-23-66-33-67-66
Cilic M.
Collignon R.
6-36-46-3
Fritz T.[6]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-766-786-47-666-4