Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Roman Andres BurruchagaModena CH Round of 32

Modena CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
1744ELO
1700Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 June 2025
clay
#65ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
Merida Aguilar D.
6-2 6-4
Burruchaga R.
Merida Aguilar D.
662
Burruchaga R.
240

Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-2 6-4 in the Modena CH round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daniel Merida Aguilar came in defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Merida Aguilar D.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Burruchaga R.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Merida Aguilar D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (97 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
67
Break points saved·Even
64
68
Break points won·Dominant
46
73
Deciding sets·Even
87
84
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
49
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.8+6 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Clay Elo 1694
5.3Overall Elo 1744
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
6.6
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
90

Merida Aguilar D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Burruchaga R.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast