Daniel Evans vs Tommy Paul — Eastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · ATP · Round of 16
Daniel Evans
GBR
Daniel Evans
#385ATP
1588ELO
1584Grass ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 June 2025
grass
Tommy Paul
USA2
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Evans D.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Paul T.
Evans D.
6362
Paul T.
4631

Daniel Evans defeated Tommy Paul 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25. Daniel Evans extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Daniel Evans closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-14Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs GBRRRhardTommy Paul6-4 4-6 6-4
2022-08-08Canada MastersQFhardDaniel Evans1-6 6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Evans D.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Evans D.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Evans D.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
93
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
61
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Evans D.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Paul T.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.0Grass Elo 1584
Surface ELO
7.0+217 Grass Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
8.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.4
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Evans D.Paul T.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Evans D.: 18 days rest · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Fritz T.[1]
Brooksby J.
7-56-1
Semi-finals
Brooksby J.
Humbert U.[4]
6-776-46-4
Fritz T.[1]
Davidovich Fokina A.[6]
6-33-66-1
Quarter-finals
Humbert U.[4]
Harris B.
7-646-1
Fritz T.[1]
Giron M.
7-54-67-5
Davidovich Fokina A.[6]
Mensik J.[3]
6-47-5
Brooksby J.
Evans D.
6-26-3
R16
Mensik J.[3]
Opelka R.
7-56-3
Evans D.
Paul T.[2]
6-43-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[6]
Duckworth J.
6-736-36-4
Harris B.
Bellucci M.
6-36-4
Brooksby J.
Borges N.[8]
6-46-4
Fritz T.[1]
Fonseca J.
6-36-757-5
Giron M.
Fearnley J.
6-36-1
Humbert U.[4]
Sonego L.
7-56-4
R32
Duckworth J.
Vukic A.
6-36-756-1
Evans D.
Kecmanovic M.
3-66-46-4
Opelka R.
Loffhagen G.
7-663-67-61
Borges N.[8]
Pinnington Jones J.
4-66-36-3
Harris B.
Norrie C.
6-46-4
Sonego L.
Marozsan F.
6-26-4
Giron M.
Darderi L.
6-47-5
Fearnley J.
Cobolli F.[5]
6-26-2
Bellucci M.
Halys Q.
6-46-2
Fonseca J.
Bergs Z.
6-786-06-3
Brooksby J.
Comesana F.
7-666-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[6]
Tseng C.
7-666-2