Daniel Evans vs Tommy Paul — Canada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
Daniel Evans
GBR
Daniel Evans
#385ATP
1588ELO
1562Hard ELO
36 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022
hard
Tommy Paul
USA
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Evans D.
1-6 6-3 6-4
Paul T.
Evans D.
1662
Paul T.
6341

Daniel Evans defeated Tommy Paul 1-6 6-3 6-4 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's round of 32. Daniel Evans extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-23EastbourneR16grassDaniel Evans6-4 3-6 6-3
2022-09-14Davis Cup Finals RR: USA vs GBRRRhardTommy Paul6-4 4-6 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Evans D.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Evans D.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Evans D.Paul T.
—
Serve
71
—
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Evans D.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Evans D.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
93
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
61
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
66
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Evans D.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Paul T.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.3Hard Elo 1562
Surface ELO
8.7+319 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1588
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
6.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Evans D.Paul T.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
86

Evans D.: 18 days rest · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Carreno Busta P.
Hurkacz H.[8]
3-66-36-3
Semi-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ruud C.[4]
5-76-36-2
Carreno Busta P.
Evans D.
7-56-776-2
Quarter-finals
Hurkacz H.[8]
Kyrgios N.
7-646-756-1
Ruud C.[4]
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
6-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Draper J.
7-646-1
Evans D.
Paul T.
1-66-36-4
R16
Kyrgios N.
De Minaur A.
6-26-3
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ramos A.
6-766-27-63
Ruud C.[4]
Bautista Agut R.[14]
6-747-646-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Norrie C.[9]
6-36-4
Carreno Busta P.
Sinner J.[7]
6-26-4
Evans D.
Fritz T.[10]
7-651-67-5
Paul T.
Cilic M.[13]
6-46-2
Draper J.
Monfils G.[17]
6-20-2
R32
Kyrgios N.
Medvedev D.[1]
6-726-46-2
De Minaur A.
Dimitrov G.[15]
7-647-5
Ramos A.
Schwartzman D.[12]
6-46-2
Hurkacz H.[8]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-36-746-2
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Nishioka Y.
7-666-4
Sinner J.[7]
Mannarino A.
2-66-46-2
Carreno Busta P.
Rune H.
6-06-3
Draper J.
Tsitsipas S.[3]
7-57-64
Evans D.
Rublev A.[5]
6-46-4
Fritz T.[10]
Tiafoe F.
5-76-16-4
Monfils G.[17]
Cressy M.
7-6107-66
Bautista Agut R.[14]
Brooksby J.
7-56-1
Paul T.
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-747-676-3
Ruud C.[4]
Molcan A.
7-636-3
Norrie C.[9]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-16-2
Cilic M.[13]
Khachanov K.
6-36-2
R64
Cressy M.
Karatsev A.
6-46-4
Kyrgios N.
Baez S.
6-46-4
De Minaur A.
Shapovalov D.
7-57-64
Dimitrov G.[15]
Galarneau A.
6-47-5
Schwartzman D.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.
1-66-36-4
Ramos A.
Goffin D.
7-626-2
Molcan A.
Mcdonald M.
7-616-4
Brooksby J.
Bublik A.
6-26-3
Bautista Agut R.[14]
Giron M.
7-656-3
Norrie C.[9]
Nakashima B.
6-46-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Kecmanovic M.
6-17-5
Nishioka Y.
Paire B.
6-26-3
Mannarino A.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-3
Carreno Busta P.
Berrettini M.[11]
6-36-2
Monfils G.[17]
Martinez P.
7-643-66-2
Draper J.
Gaston H.
6-26-3
Evans D.
Krajinovic F.
6-21-66-0
Tiafoe F.
Bonzi B.
6-767-56-3
Fritz T.[10]
Murray A.
6-16-3
Cilic M.[13]
Coric B.
6-36-2
Khachanov K.
Cerundolo F.
7-645-76-3
Paul T.
Pospisil V.
6-46-4
Ruusuvuori E.
Wawrinka S.
6-33-66-3
Rune H.
Fognini F.
6-37-5