Jessica Pegula vs Emma NavarroBad Homburg Quarter-final

Bad Homburg · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#26WTA
1866ELO
1774Grass ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Pegula J.
6-4 1-6 6-3
Navarro E.
Pegula J.
6162
Navarro E.
4631

Jessica Pegula defeated Emma Navarro 6-4 1-6 6-3 in the Bad Homburg quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingQFhardJessica Pegula6-7(2) 6-2 6-1
2024-03-18MiamiR16hardJessica Pegula7-6(1) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving85% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Navarro E.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
96
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
88
Break points won·Even
99
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+129 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Grass Elo 1774
9.0Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1866
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
6.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
5.6
7.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
86

Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Navarro E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%