Elena Rybakina vs Katerina SiniakovaBerlin Round of 16

Berlin · WTA · Round of 16
#2WTA
2122ELO
1884Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#36WTA
1846ELO
1733Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Rybakina E.
6-4 7-6
Siniakova K.
Rybakina E.
6772
Siniakova K.
4650

Elena Rybakina defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-4 7-6 in the Berlin round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–3, defending last year's quarter-final. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-12PortorozFhardKaterina Siniakova6-7(4) 7-6(5) 6-4
2022-04-28MadridR32clayElena Rybakina6-0 1-0 RET
2020-02-17DubaiR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-3
2020-02-10St. PetersburgR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-4
2019-09-16GuangzhouR32hardKaterina Siniakova6-1 3-1 RET
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayKaterina Siniakova7-6(5) 6-1
2019-04-22IstanbulR32clayElena Rybakina3-6 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
75
Break points won·Even
96
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
46
Tiebreaks·Even
93
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+151 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Grass Elo 1733
9.1Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1846
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
9.4
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
96

Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Siniakova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 62%