Katerina Siniakova vs Elena RybakinaPortoroz Final

Portoroz · WTA · Final
#34WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 September 2022
hard
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Siniakova K.
6-7 7-6 6-4
Rybakina E.
Siniakova K.
647762
Rybakina E.
776541

Katerina Siniakova defeated Elena Rybakina 6-7 7-6 6-4 in the Portoroz final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 5–2. Katerina Siniakova narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

25
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16BerlinR16grassElena Rybakina6-4 7-6(5)
2022-04-28MadridR32clayElena Rybakina6-0 1-0 RET
2020-02-17DubaiR16hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-3
2020-02-10St. PetersburgR32hardElena Rybakina6-3 6-4
2019-09-16GuangzhouR32hardKaterina Siniakova6-1 3-1 RET
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayKaterina Siniakova7-6(5) 6-1
2019-04-22IstanbulR32clayElena Rybakina3-6 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Rybakina E.
21
Serve
100
64
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
64%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
92
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
98
Break points won·Even
94
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
97
Tiebreaks·Even
90
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
0.9Hard Elo 1807
Surface ELO
9.1+303 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 2122
2.8
H2H
7.2
3.3
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
92

Siniakova K.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast