Holger Rune vs Mackenzie McdonaldQueen's Club Round of 16

Queen's Club · ATP · Round of 16
#77ATP
1757ELO
1628Grass ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#145ATP
1606ELO
1541Grass ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Rune H.
2-6 6-1 6-1
Mcdonald M.
Rune H.
2662
Mcdonald M.
6111

Holger Rune defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-1 6-1 in the Queen's Club round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, defending last year's round of 32. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 2-0 RET
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR64hardHolger Rune7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Even
5.1
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
56
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
84
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+87 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1541
6.8Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.4
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.4
3.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 43%