Holger Rune vs Mackenzie McdonaldIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Rune H.
7-5 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Rune H.
762
Mcdonald M.
530

Holger Rune defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-5 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, defending last year's round of 64. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubR16grassHolger Rune2-6 6-1 6-1
2023-08-14Cincinnati MastersR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 2-0 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Mcdonald M.
47
Serve
25
58
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
56
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
84
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1604
6.8Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
7.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
8.0
4.0
3-set count
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%