Sofia Kenin vs Ajla TomljanovicBerlin Qualifying Round 2

Berlin · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#105WTA
1694ELO
1568Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#94WTA
1745ELO
1683Grass ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Kenin S.
5-7 6-4 7-5
Tomljanovic A.
Kenin S.
5672
Tomljanovic A.
7451

Sofia Kenin defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 5-7 6-4 7-5 in the Berlin qualifying round 2 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Ajla Tomljanovic came in ranked #94. Sofia Kenin extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-03Adelaide 1R16hardSofia Kenin3-6 7-6(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
73
Break points won·Slight edge
85
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
54
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
73
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1568
Surface ELO
5.8+115 Grass Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.8
Surface form
6.5
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
0.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
97

Kenin S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Tomljanovic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast