Sofia Kenin vs Ajla TomljanovicAdelaide 1 Round of 16

Adelaide 1 · WTA · Round of 16
#106WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Kenin S.
3-6 7-6 6-3
Tomljanovic A.
Kenin S.
37762
Tomljanovic A.
66531

Sofia Kenin defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 3-6 7-6 6-3 in the Adelaide 1 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Ajla Tomljanovic came in ranked #92.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Kenin S.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kenin S.

Serve advantage — Tomljanovic A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kenin S.Tomljanovic A.
13
Serve
26
0
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (182 vs 177). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
92
73
Break points won·Slight edge
85
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
54
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
73
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 189 days (−1.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 59 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
5.6+64 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1745
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
97

Kenin S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Tomljanovic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast