Ons Jabeur vs Jasmine PaoliniBerlin Round of 16

Berlin · WTA · Round of 16
#1217WTA
31 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#17WTA
1905ELO
1748Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
Jabeur O.
6-1 6-3
Paolini J.
Jabeur O.
662
Paolini J.
130

Ons Jabeur defeated Jasmine Paolini 6-1 6-3 in the Berlin round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Ons Jabeur narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR32clayJasmine Paolini6-4 6-3
2025-03-18MiamiR32hardJasmine Paolini4-3 RET
2024-04-15StuttgartR16clayJasmine Paolini7-6(8) 6-4
2023-06-26EastbourneR32grassOns Jabeur6-3 6-2
2022-04-28MadridR64clayOns Jabeur7-6(9) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Jabeur O.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Paolini J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Jabeur O.

Serve advantage — Paolini J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 73). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
89
Break points saved·Even
90
87
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Even
95
97
Tiebreaks·Even
90
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.0
Surface form
8.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
67

Paolini J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 62%