Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac — Halle Quarter-final

Halle · ATP · Quarter-final
Alexander Bublik
KAZ7
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
Tomas Machac
CZE7
Tomas Machac
#49ATP
1866ELO
1706Grass ELO
$832kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Bublik A.
7-6 6-3
Machac T.
Bublik A.
7762
Machac T.
6230

Alexander Bublik defeated Tomas Machac 7-6 6-3 in the Halle quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26DubaiR32hardAlexander Bublik2-6 6-3 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Machac T.

Machac T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Machac T.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.8
6.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Machac T.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
90
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
67
80
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Even
96
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Machac T.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.7+96 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Grass Elo 1706
5.9Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1866
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Machac T.
Freshness·
70
—

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 62%
Final
Bublik A.[7]
Medvedev D.[4]
6-37-64
Semi-finals
Bublik A.[7]
Khachanov K.[8]
4-67-656-4
Medvedev D.[4]
Zverev A.[1]
7-636-716-4
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[4]
Michelsen A.
6-46-3
Zverev A.[1]
Cobolli F.[6]
6-47-66
Bublik A.[7]
Machac T.[7]
7-626-3
Khachanov K.[8]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
R16
Bublik A.[7]
Sinner J.[1]
3-66-36-4
Khachanov K.[8]
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
6-31-66-3
Etcheverry T.
Rublev A.[8]
6-36-747-66
Cobolli F.[6]
Shapovalov D.
7-624-67-65
Medvedev D.[4]
Halys Q.
6-27-5
Zverev A.[1]
Sonego L.
3-66-47-62
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.
7-657-5
Machac T.[7]
Marozsan F.
6-26-3
R32
Tsitsipas S.
Darderi L.
6-43-67-65
Khachanov K.[8]
Bergs Z.
7-56-3
Michelsen A.
Cerundolo F.[5]
2-67-56-4
Sinner J.[1]
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-3
Medvedev D.[4]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Rublev A.[8]
Ofner S.
6-36-4
Cobolli F.[6]
Fonseca J.
5-77-637-68
Auger Aliassime F.[2]
Djere L.
6-36-766-1
Bublik A.[7]
Muller A.
6-46-4
Zverev A.[1]
Giron M.
6-26-1
Machac T.[7]
De Jong J.
7-53-66-3
Sonego L.
Struff J.
6-36-2
Halys Q.
Bonzi B.
6-46-4
Etcheverry T.
Martinez P.
6-16-3
Shapovalov D.
Humbert U.[6]
6-44-67-64
Marozsan F.
Kecmanovic M.
6-736-46-4