Carlos Alcaraz vs Roberto Bautista AgutQueen's Club Semi-final

Queen's Club · ATP · Semi-final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2029Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#183ATP
1700ELO
1662Grass ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-4 6-4
Bautista Agut R.
Alcaraz C.
662
Bautista Agut R.
440

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 6-4 in the Queen's Club semi-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-17BarcelonaR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-5
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR32hardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
85
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
99
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+367 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1662
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1700
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
6.1
10.016-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.3
Country comfort
6.1
3.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Bautista Agut R.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 43%