Carlos Alcaraz vs Roberto Bautista AgutIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#3ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#180ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-2 6-0
Bautista Agut R.
Alcaraz C.
662
Bautista Agut R.
200

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 6-0 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubSFgrassCarlos Alcaraz6-4 6-4
2023-04-17BarcelonaR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Alcaraz C.Bautista Agut R.
74
Serve
23
95
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
57%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
98
85
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
99
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+420 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1668
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1700
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
7.6
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.5
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Bautista Agut R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%