Reilly Opelka vs Nicolas Jarrys Hertogenbosch Round of 16

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 16
#131ATP
1749ELO
1635Grass ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 June 2025
grass
#764ATP
1648ELO
1635Grass ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Opelka R.
7-6 6-3
Jarry N.
Opelka R.
7762
Jarry N.
6530

Reilly Opelka defeated Nicolas Jarry 7-6 6-3 in the s Hertogenbosch round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Nicolas Jarry came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Reilly Opelka claimed a first win over Nicolas Jarry in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Reilly Opelka closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2017-05-29Roland GarrosQ3clayNicolas Jarry7-6(4) 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving95% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving98% hold

wins 80% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
74%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.0
10.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (67 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
48
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Even
1
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
57
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Grass Elo 1635
Surface ELO
4.9+1 Grass Elo edge
6.5Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1648
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.4
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast