Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen ZhengRoland Garros Quarter-final

Roland Garros · WTA · Quarter-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
#138WTA
1852ELO
1811Clay ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
Sabalenka A.
7-6 6-3
Zheng Q.
Sabalenka A.
7762
Zheng Q.
6330

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Qinwen Zheng 7-6 6-3 in the Roland Garros quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 7–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 8–1.

Key context

Head to head

71
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2025-05-06RomeQFclayQinwen Zheng6-4 6-3
2025-03-18MiamiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 7-5
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2024-10-07WuhanFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 5-7 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Zheng Q.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
6.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
93
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+292 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Clay Elo 1811
9.3Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1852
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.9
Surface form
6.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.2
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Zheng Q.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw

R128
Cristian J.
Birrell K.
6-16-0
Kartal S.
Andreeva E.
6-06-2
Frech M.[25]
Jabeur O.
7-646-0
Kudermetova V.
Tomova V.
7-56-1
Krejcikova B.[15]
Maria T.
7-646-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Navarro E.[9]
6-06-1
Vondrousova M.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-46-4
Starodubtseva Y.
Korpatsch T.
2-66-16-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-3
Arango E.
Eala A.
6-02-66-3
Mboko V.[9]
Sun L.[5]
6-17-64
Yastremska D.
Aiava D.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Stojanovic N.
6-34-1
Golubic V.
Kvitova P.
3-66-06-4
Rybakina E.[2]
Riera J.
6-14-66-4
Paolini J.[13]
Yuan Y.[10]
6-14-66-3
Valentova T.
Paquet C.
4-66-37-5
Parks A.
Muchova K.[10]
6-32-66-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
7-636-2
Garland J.
Volynets K.
6-33-66-4
Montgomery R.
Parry D.
6-26-1
Keys M.[19]
Saville D.
6-26-1
Ruse E.
Kessler M.
7-57-63
Potapova A.[28]
Noskova L.[12]
5-76-17-5
Cocciaretto E.
Townsend T.
6-36-2
Lys E.
Stearns P.[28]
6-06-3
Pegula J.[5]
Todoni A.
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Sherif M.
7-636-2
Krueger A.
Lamens S.[17]
6-36-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Sramkova R.
6-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Gadecki O.
6-26-2
Boulter K.
Monnet C.
6-746-16-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Kudermetova P.[16]
5-76-06-2
Azarenka V.
Wickmayer Y.
6-06-0
Collins D.
Burrage J.
7-616-4
Tomljanovic A.
Joint M.
6-16-3
Kalinina A.
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Kasatkina D.[17]
Siniakova K.
6-13-66-2
Hibino N.
Uchijima M.
6-17-5
Kenin S.[31]
Gracheva V.
6-36-1
Badosa P.[10]
Osaka N.[16]
6-716-16-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
6-47-5
Dolehide C.
Minnen G.
3-66-36-4
Raducanu E.
Wang X.
7-54-66-3
Tauson C.[21]
Linette M.
6-44-66-1
Jacquemot E.
Sakkari M.
6-37-64
Jeanjean L.
Begu I.
0-67-53-0
Putintseva Y.[32]
Sierra S.
7-646-2
Pera B.
Garcia C.
6-46-4
Vekic D.[18]
Blinkova A.
7-56-746-1
Rus A.
Osorio C.
4-66-26-4
Teichmann J.
Stefanini L.
6-46-4
Bondar A.
Siegemund L.
7-626-3
Baptiste H.[26]
Haddad Maia B.[23]
4-66-36-1
Li A.[30]
Carle M.
6-46-0
Shnaider D.[25]
Soboleva A.
7-636-2
Jovic I.[17]
Zarazua R.
6-35-76-4
Boisson L.
Mertens E.[23]
6-44-66-3
Alexandrova E.[14]
Bronzetti L.
6-36-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Bucsa C.[31]
6-46-3
Bejlek S.
Kostyuk M.[15]
6-36-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Sonmez Z.
6-16-1
Danilovic O.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-36-1