Qinwen Zheng vs Aryna Sabalenka — Rome Quarter-final

Rome · WTA · Quarter-final
Qinwen Zheng
CHN8
Qinwen Zheng
#138WTA
1852ELO
1811Clay ELO
$283kYTD
$10MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
clay
Aryna Sabalenka
BLR1
Aryna Sabalenka
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Zheng Q.
6-4 6-3
Sabalenka A.
Zheng Q.
662
Sabalenka A.
430

Qinwen Zheng defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-3 in the Rome quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 8–0, defending last year's final. Qinwen Zheng claimed a first win over Aryna Sabalenka in nine meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 8–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Qinwen Zheng closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

0–8
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayAryna Sabalenka7-6(3) 6-3
2025-03-18MiamiQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-2 7-5
2024-11-04Riyadh FinalsRRhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-4
2024-10-07WuhanFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 5-7 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2024-01-15Australian OpenFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2023-08-28US OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Zheng Q.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Zheng Q.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Zheng Q.Sabalenka A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Zheng Q.Sabalenka A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
98
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
100
100
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Zheng Q.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Sabalenka A.
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Clay Elo 1811
Surface ELO
8.5+292 Clay Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1852
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2220
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
9.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
3.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.1
Country comfort
Context
7.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Zheng Q.Sabalenka A.
Freshness·Slight edge
98
88

Zheng Q.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CRain
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw

Final
Paolini J.[6]
Gauff C.[4]
6-46-2
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Zheng Q.[8]
7-634-67-64
Paolini J.[6]
Stearns P.
7-56-1
Quarter-finals
Zheng Q.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-46-3
Paolini J.[6]
Shnaider D.[13]
6-716-46-2
Stearns P.
Svitolina E.[16]
6-24-67-64
Gauff C.[4]
Andreeva M.[7]
6-47-65
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Raducanu E.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.
6-17-68
Paolini J.[6]
Ostapenko J.[17]
7-56-2
Svitolina E.[16]
Collins D.[29]
6-46-2
Zheng Q.[8]
Andreescu B.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[7]
Tauson C.[22]
5-76-36-2
Stearns P.
Osaka N.
6-43-67-64
Shnaider D.[13]
Mertens E.[25]
6-26-3
R32
Ostapenko J.[17]
Siegemund L.
W/O
Andreescu B.
Rybakina E.[11]
6-26-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Noskova L.[30]
6-17-5
Paolini J.[6]
Jabeur O.[27]
6-46-3
Shnaider D.[13]
Cristian J.
6-36-3
Osaka N.
Bouzkova M.
4-66-36-3
Svitolina E.[16]
Baptiste H.
6-43-66-4
Kostyuk M.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-46-2
Raducanu E.
Kudermetova V.
5-76-06-1
Stearns P.
Keys M.[5]
2-66-27-63
Gauff C.[4]
Linette M.[32]
7-56-3
Tauson C.[22]
Navarro E.[10]
3-66-06-4
Collins D.[29]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-17-5
Zheng Q.[8]
Frech M.[26]
6-36-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kenin S.[31]
3-66-36-3
Mertens E.[25]
Pegula J.[3]
7-56-1
R64
Andreescu B.
Vekic D.[20]
6-13-66-2
Raducanu E.
Teichmann J.
6-26-2
Paolini J.[6]
Sun L.
6-46-3
Jabeur O.[27]
Kvitova P.
W/O
Kenin S.[31]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-36-0
Tauson C.[22]
Volynets K.
7-54-1
Cristian J.
Putintseva Y.[23]
7-627-5
Rybakina E.[11]
Lys E.
7-636-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Potapova A.
6-26-2
Shnaider D.[13]
Dolehide C.
6-06-0
Swiatek I.[2]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-0
Mertens E.[25]
Lamens S.
3-66-26-3
Ostapenko J.[17]
Sramkova R.
1-66-46-3
Andreeva M.[7]
Arango E.
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[8]
Danilovic O.
6-16-4
Collins D.[29]
Ruse E.
6-36-3
Kudermetova V.
Anisimova A.[15]
7-657-5
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
6-26-2
Navarro E.[10]
Rakhimova K.
6-16-3
Linette M.[32]
Sakkari M.
1-66-46-1
Kostyuk M.
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-46-2
Fernandez L.[24]
Ruzic A.
6-46-0
Frech M.[26]
Azarenka V.
7-56-4
Gauff C.[4]
Mboko V.
3-66-26-1
Noskova L.[30]
Kartal S.
6-46-2
Pegula J.[3]
Krueger A.
6-46-2
Keys M.[5]
Gracheva V.
7-646-1
Bouzkova M.
Haddad Maia B.[18]
6-06-3
Osaka N.
Golubic V.
2-67-56-1
Svitolina E.[16]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-47-62
Baptiste H.
Samsonova L.[19]
6-32-66-4
Stearns P.
Kalinskaya A.[28]
6-26-3
R128
Cocciaretto E.
Avanesyan E.
6-24-66-1
Sakkari M.
Bencic B.
6-20-0
Bouzkova M.
Sherif M.
6-27-5
Kostyuk M.
Eala A.
6-06-1
Azarenka V.
Osorio C.
6-26-3
Danilovic O.
Siniakova K.
3-66-46-4
Kudermetova V.
Stefanini L.
7-56-2
Sramkova R.
Kessler M.
6-36-3
Lys E.
Uchijima M.
6-16-0
Potapova A.
Yastremska D.
2-67-666-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Li A.
6-35-77-63
Baptiste H.
Blinkova A.
7-676-4
Sun L.
Pedone G.
3-66-16-3
Mboko V.
Zucchini A.
6-26-3
Andreescu B.
Urgesi F.
6-06-3
Kvitova P.
Begu I.
7-56-1
Ruzic A.
Grant T.
3-66-37-5
Stearns P.
Brancaccio N.
6-36-2
Osaka N.
Errani S.
6-26-3
Ruse E.
Kudermetova P.
6-7106-46-2
Kartal S.
Birrell K.
4-66-36-4
Lamens S.
Zarazua R.
6-11-66-1
Bronzetti L.
Sevastova A.
6-36-4
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Boulter K.
6-36-3
Raducanu E.
Joint M.
7-56-716-3
Rakhimova K.
Wang X.
6-36-2
Volynets K.
Rus A.
6-36-3
Arango E.
Tomova V.
7-665-76-4
Dolehide C.
Gadecki O.
7-655-76-2
Cristian J.
Parks A.
6-26-0
Krueger A.
Bondar A.
4-66-26-1
Gracheva V.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-4