Alexander Bublik vs Alex De Minaur — Roland Garros Round of 64

Roland Garros · ATP · Round of 64
Alexander Bublik
KAZ9
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
3 — 2
Sets
Monday, 26 May 2025
clay
Alex De Minaur
AUS8
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Bublik A.
2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2
De Minaur A.
Bublik A.
226663
De Minaur A.
664322

Alexander Bublik defeated Alex De Minaur 2-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 in the Roland Garros round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-1 6-1
2025-10-27Paris MastersQFhardAlexander Bublik6-7(5) 6-4 7-5
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardAlex De Minaur7-5 6-0
2021-04-19BarcelonaR32clayAlex De Minaur7-6(3) 6-2
2021-01-05AntalyaFgrassAlex De Minaur2-0 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.De Minaur A.
55
Serve
—
51
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.De Minaur A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
57%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.8
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.De Minaur A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
95
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
67
97
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
De Minaur A.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1822
Surface ELO
5.1+47 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1961
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
7.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.5
Country comfort
5.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.De Minaur A.
Freshness·Slight edge
66
73

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 53%
Final
Alcaraz C.[2]
Sinner J.[1]
4-66-746-47-637-62
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Djokovic N.[3]
6-47-57-63
Alcaraz C.[2]
Musetti L.[8]
4-67-636-02-0
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[2]
Paul T.[24]
6-06-16-4
Musetti L.[8]
Tiafoe F.[19]
6-24-67-56-2
Sinner J.[1]
Bublik A.[9]
6-17-56-0
Djokovic N.[3]
Zverev A.[2]
4-66-36-26-4
R16
Tiafoe F.[19]
Altmaier D.
6-36-47-64
Sinner J.[1]
Rublev A.[11]
6-16-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Griekspoor T.[29]
6-43-0
Alcaraz C.[2]
Shelton B.[5]
7-686-34-66-4
Musetti L.[8]
Rune H.[10]
7-53-66-36-2
Paul T.[24]
Popyrin A.[25]
6-36-36-3
Bublik A.[9]
Draper J.[5]
5-76-36-26-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Norrie C.
6-26-36-2
R32
Sinner J.[1]
Lehecka J.[12]
6-06-16-2
Musetti L.[8]
Navone M.
4-66-46-36-2
Popyrin A.[25]
Borges N.
6-47-6117-65
Rublev A.[11]
Fils A.[14]
W/O
Bublik A.[9]
Rocha H.[11]
7-56-16-2
Tiafoe F.[19]
Korda S.[23]
7-666-36-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Misolic F.
6-36-46-2
Paul T.[24]
Khachanov K.[13]
6-33-67-673-66-3
Norrie C.
Fearnley J.
6-37-616-2
Zverev A.[2]
Cobolli F.[10]
6-27-646-1
Rune H.[10]
Halys Q.
4-66-25-77-56-2
Altmaier D.
Medjedovic H.
4-66-36-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Dzumhur D.
6-16-34-66-4
Griekspoor T.[29]
Quinn E.
4-66-16-726-16-4
Draper J.[5]
Fonseca J.[28]
6-26-46-2
Shelton B.[5]
Gigante M.
6-36-36-4
R64
Djokovic N.[3]
Moutet C.[30]
6-36-27-61
Cobolli F.[10]
Arnaldi M.
6-36-36-766-1
Quinn E.
Shevchenko A.
6-44-66-757-637-5
Misolic F.
Shapovalov D.[27]
7-657-664-64-66-3
Norrie C.
Gomez F.
7-676-26-1
Korda S.[23]
Brooksby J.
6-16-27-62
Dzumhur D.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[31]
7-646-34-66-4
Alcaraz C.[2]
Marozsan F.
6-14-66-16-2
Rune H.[10]
Nava E.
6-37-656-3
Shelton B.[5]
Gaston H.
W/O
Fearnley J.
Humbert U.[32]
6-34-4
Paul T.[24]
Fucsovics M.
4-62-66-37-56-4
Borges N.
Ruud C.[15]
2-66-46-16-0
Lehecka J.[12]
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
6-33-66-16-2
Gigante M.
Tsitsipas S.[20]
6-45-76-26-4
Navone M.
Opelka R.
6-17-616-3
Medjedovic H.
Cerundolo J.
6-36-47-5
Halys Q.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-37-627-5
Fils A.[14]
Munar J.
7-637-642-60-66-4
Altmaier D.
Kopriva V.
6-24-66-37-5
Draper J.[5]
Monfils G.
6-34-66-37-5
Musetti L.[8]
Galan D.
6-46-06-4
Sinner J.[1]
Gasquet R.
6-36-06-4
Popyrin A.[25]
Tabilo A.
7-56-36-4
Bublik A.[9]
De Minaur A.[8]
2-62-66-46-36-2
Zverev A.[2]
De Jong J.
3-66-16-26-3
Rublev A.[11]
Walton A.
7-616-17-65
Khachanov K.[13]
Ofner S.
7-53-67-54-66-2
Griekspoor T.[29]
Diallo G.
7-57-631-66-3
Fonseca J.[28]
Herbert P.
7-647-646-4
Rocha H.[11]
Mensik J.[26]
2-61-66-46-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Carreno Busta P.
6-46-36-1
R128
Altmaier D.
Fritz T.[7]
7-53-66-36-1
Quinn E.
Dimitrov G.[16]
2-63-66-2
Mensik J.[26]
Muller A.
7-56-757-56-3
Fucsovics M.
Schoolkate T.[15]
6-46-26-2
Kopriva V.
Monteiro T.
6-46-34-66-766-1
Fearnley J.
Wawrinka S.
7-666-36-2
Shelton B.[5]
Sonego L.
6-44-63-66-26-3
Halys Q.
Machac T.[21]
7-644-1
Dzumhur D.
Tirante T.
3-66-46-37-5
Herbert P.
Bonzi B.
7-53-64-67-56-2
Rune H.[10]
Bautista Agut R.
6-746-46-36-2
Galan D.
Royer V.
7-666-33-66-747-5
Khachanov K.[13]
Vukic A.
6-46-46-4
De Jong J.
Passaro F.
3-66-776-47-616-1
Borges N.
Jacquet K.
3-66-736-46-36-3
Tiafoe F.[19]
Safiullin R.
6-47-56-4
Tabilo A.
Cazaux A.
5-76-36-21-66-3
Walton A.
Marterer M.
7-634-66-32-66-2
Moutet C.[30]
Tabur C.
6-37-666-3
Popyrin A.[25]
Nishioka Y.
7-56-41-2
Rublev A.[11]
Harris L.[31]
6-44-66-36-1
Paul T.[24]
Moller E.
6-756-26-36-1
Misolic F.
Yunchaokete B.
5-77-637-646-1
Gaston H.
Blanchet U.
2-66-02-66-36-4
Diallo G.
Cerundolo F.[25]
7-56-36-4
Sinner J.[1]
Rinderknech A.[22]
6-46-37-5
Navone M.
Nakashima B.[31]
7-624-66-16-2
Medjedovic H.
Majchrzak K.
6-36-37-62
Cobolli F.[10]
Cilic M.
6-26-16-3
Griekspoor T.[29]
Giron M.
4-66-36-47-5
Zverev A.[2]
Tien L.[18]
6-36-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[21]
Llamas Ruiz P.
6-36-26-746-3
Alcaraz C.[2]
Zeppieri G.
6-36-46-2
Opelka R.
Hijikata R.
1-66-37-57-63
Munar J.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-46-17-5
Gomez F.
Kovacevic A.
4-66-46-46-1
Musetti L.[8]
Hanfmann Y.
7-56-26-0
Carreno Busta P.
Comesana F.
6-27-637-5
Cerundolo J.
Michelsen A.[32]
6-36-26-4
Draper J.[5]
Bellucci M.
3-66-16-46-2
Gigante M.
Hassan B.
6-46-26-0
De Minaur A.[8]
Djere L.
6-36-47-66
Ofner S.
Struff J.
7-656-36-756-2
Rocha H.[11]
Basilashvili N.[9]
7-602-67-692-66-2
Gasquet R.
Atmane T.
6-22-66-36-0
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-736-746-46-26-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.[31]
Bergs Z.
4-66-37-656-4
Djokovic N.[3]
Mcdonald M.[18]
6-36-36-3
Norrie C.
Medvedev D.[6]
7-56-34-61-67-5
Lehecka J.[12]
Thompson J.
6-46-26-1
Monfils G.
Dellien H.
4-63-66-17-646-1
Brooksby J.
Faria J.
6-13-66-36-2
Nava E.
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-27-57-5
Shevchenko A.
Lajovic D.[20]
6-26-47-64
Humbert U.[32]
Oconnell C.
7-56-37-63
Fonseca J.[28]
Hurkacz H.[30]
6-26-46-2
Marozsan F.
Nardi L.
6-26-37-63
Fils A.[14]
Jarry N.
6-36-46-766-3
Arnaldi M.
Auger Aliassime F.[4]
5-72-66-36-46-2
Korda S.[23]
Darderi L.[14]
6-24-66-36-2
Shapovalov D.[27]
Martinez P.[24]
6-26-06-3
Bublik A.[9]
Duckworth J.
6-26-46-4
Ruud C.[15]
Ramos A.
6-36-46-2
Tsitsipas S.[20]
Etcheverry T.[23]
7-56-36-4