Emma Raducanu vs Daria KasatkinaStrasbourg Round of 32

Strasbourg · WTA · Round of 32
#33WTA
1834ELO
1727Clay ELO
$605kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Raducanu E.
6-1 6-3
Kasatkina D.
Raducanu E.
662
Kasatkina D.
130

Emma Raducanu defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-3 in the Strasbourg round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 3–0. Emma Raducanu claimed a first win over Daria Kasatkina in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-16SeoulQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-1 0-0 RET
2024-06-24EastbourneQFgrassDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-2
2022-10-03OstravaR32hardDaria Kasatkina7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Raducanu E.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Raducanu E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
64
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
80
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
29
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1727
Surface ELO
5.2+43 Clay Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1834
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast