Daria Kasatkina vs Emma RaducanuOstrava Round of 32

Ostrava · WTA · Round of 32
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#38WTA
1834ELO
1773Hard ELO
$605kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLWL
Kasatkina D.
7-5 6-4
Raducanu E.
Kasatkina D.
762
Raducanu E.
540

Daria Kasatkina defeated Emma Raducanu 7-5 6-4 in the Ostrava round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emma Raducanu came in ranked #38, but Daria Kasatkina had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18StrasbourgR32clayEmma Raducanu6-1 6-3
2024-09-16SeoulQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-1 0-0 RET
2024-06-24EastbourneQFgrassDaria Kasatkina6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Raducanu E.

Raducanu E.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Raducanu E.
0
Serve
32
95
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 139). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
64
Break points saved·Clear edge
80
96
Break points won·Even
100
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1757
Surface ELO
5.0+16 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1834
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
6.7
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.4
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast