Flavio Cobolli vs Andrey RublevHamburg Final

Hamburg · ATP · Final
#10ATP
1896ELO
1862Clay ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Cobolli F.
6-2 6-4
Rublev A.
Cobolli F.
662
Rublev A.
240

Flavio Cobolli defeated Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-4 in the Hamburg final on clay. The result followed the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Flavio Cobolli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-25BeijingR32hardFlavio Cobolli7-6(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Cobolli F.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cobolli F.Rublev A.
54
Serve
14
54
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
7.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
76
89
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Dominant
35
72
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Even
95
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Clay Elo 1862
Surface ELO
4.9+10 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1902
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
5.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
50
92

Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%