Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo GastonGeneva Round of 32

Geneva · ATP · Round of 32
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#118ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Arnaldi M.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Gaston H.
Arnaldi M.
66662
Gaston H.
78441

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Hugo Gaston 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Geneva round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQ1hardMatteo Arnaldi6-1 5-7 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — Gaston H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
91
Break points won·Slight edge
51
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
86
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+264 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1566
6.0Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1622
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
4.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
95
50

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 40%