Novak Djokovic vs Matteo ArnaldiGeneva Quarter-final

Geneva · ATP · Quarter-final
#8ATP
2059ELO
1959Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025
clay
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Djokovic N.
6-4 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Djokovic N.
662
Arnaldi M.
440

Novak Djokovic defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-4 6-4 in the Geneva quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, defending last year's semi-final. Novak Djokovic claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Novak Djokovic edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR64clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Djokovic N.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.2
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
99
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
99
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
100
86
Tiebreaks·Even
100
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 25 days (−0.3)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+129 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Clay Elo 1830
9.3Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1830
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
5.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.9
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
42
94

Djokovic N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 40%