Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic — Madrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#104ATP
1763ELO
1756Clay ELO
$302kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 23 April 2025
clay
SRB
Novak Djokovic
[4]
#4ATP
2069ELO
1969Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Matteo Arnaldi had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 4 on clay. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Novak Djokovic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Arnaldi M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Djokovic N.
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Clay Elo 1756
Surface ELO
8.2+213 Clay Elo edge
0.7Overall Elo 1763
ELO gap
9.3Overall Elo 2069
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.5
Surface form
8.5
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Arnaldi M.
662
Djokovic N.
340

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
0.84
SlowFast
Weather
15°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18GenevaQFclayNovak Djokovic6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Arnaldi M.Djokovic N.
56%1st serve in+11%67%
66%1st serve points won+10%76%
49%2nd serve points won+8%57%
59%Service points won+11%70%
39%Return points won+1%38%
60%Break points saved+9%69%
4.3Aces / match+3.67.9
4.4Double faults / match+22.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Ruud C.[14]
Draper J.[5]
7-53-66-4
Semi-finals
Draper J.[5]
Musetti L.[10]
6-37-64
Ruud C.[14]
Cerundolo F.[20]
6-47-5
Quarter-finals
Draper J.[5]
Arnaldi M.
6-06-4
Ruud C.[14]
Medvedev D.[9]
6-37-5
Cerundolo F.[20]
Mensik J.[22]
3-67-656-2
Musetti L.[10]
Diallo G.
6-46-3
R16
Ruud C.[14]
Fritz T.[3]
7-56-4
Draper J.[5]
Paul T.[11]
6-26-2
Mensik J.[22]
Bublik A.
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-37-5
Medvedev D.[9]
Nakashima B.[31]
3-66-16-4
Diallo G.
Dimitrov G.[15]
5-77-676-4
Musetti L.[10]
De Minaur A.[6]
6-46-2
Cerundolo F.[20]
Zverev A.[1]
7-56-3
R32
Fritz T.[3]
Bonzi B.
4-67-50-0
De Minaur A.[6]
Shapovalov D.[29]
6-37-63
Nakashima B.[31]
Cobolli F.
7-56-3
Paul T.[11]
Khachanov K.[24]
6-33-66-2
Medvedev D.[9]
Cerundolo J.
6-26-2
Mensik J.[22]
Shelton B.[12]
6-16-4
Musetti L.[10]
Tsitsipas S.[17]
7-57-63
Ruud C.[14]
Korda S.[23]
6-36-3
Dimitrov G.[15]
Fearnley J.
6-47-63
Cerundolo F.[20]
Comesana F.
6-46-4
Bublik A.
Rublev A.[7]
6-40-66-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Muller A.
6-36-3
Diallo G.
Norrie C.
2-66-46-4
Draper J.[5]
Berrettini M.[30]
7-620-0
Arnaldi M.
Dzumhur D.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Davidovich Fokina A.[28]
2-67-637-60
R64
Cerundolo F.[20]
Mayot H.
6-36-4
Nakashima B.[31]
Ofner S.
6-37-63
Korda S.[23]
Cina F.
6-33-66-1
Draper J.[5]
Griekspoor T.
6-36-4
Davidovich Fokina A.[28]
Borges N.
6-26-3
Dimitrov G.[15]
Jarry N.
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Bautista Agut R.
6-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[17]
Struff J.
3-66-46-3
Bonzi B.
Hurkacz H.[27]
6-47-5
Paul T.[11]
Fonseca J.
7-677-63
Berrettini M.[30]
Giron M.
6-737-666-1
Arnaldi M.
Djokovic N.[4]
6-36-4
Khachanov K.[24]
Opelka R.
7-637-64
Shelton B.[12]
Navone M.
4-67-656-3
Fearnley J.
Machac T.[19]
1-66-36-2
Ruud C.[14]
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Musetti L.[10]
Etcheverry T.
7-636-2
Shapovalov D.[29]
Nishikori K.
6-16-4
Fritz T.[3]
Oconnell C.
6-16-4
Medvedev D.[9]
Djere L.
W/O
Dzumhur D.
Baez S.[32]
1-66-16-2
Norrie C.
Lehecka J.[26]
2-66-46-0
Cerundolo J.
Auger Aliassime F.[18]
7-656-4
Mensik J.[22]
Quinn E.
7-646-1
Rublev A.[7]
Monfils G.
W/O
Bublik A.
Popyrin A.[25]
6-47-64
Comesana F.
Fils A.[13]
7-646-4
Muller A.
Humbert U.[21]
6-26-737-65
Cobolli F.
Rune H.[8]
6-20-0
Diallo G.
Majchrzak K.
7-54-66-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Darderi L.
7-53-1
De Minaur A.[6]
Sonego L.
6-26-3
R128
Oconnell C.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-36-4
Griekspoor T.
Kopriva V.
6-16-4
Muller A.
Goffin D.
6-33-61-0
Dzumhur D.
Bellucci M.
4-66-46-2
Etcheverry T.
Medjedovic H.
6-46-746-4
Rinderknech A.
Safiullin R.
7-646-1
Fearnley J.
Yunchaokete B.
6-37-62
Ofner S.
Gaston H.
6-46-3
Borges N.
Carreno Busta P.
6-777-636-3
Sonego L.
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-65
Bublik A.
Michelsen A.
7-627-64
Quinn E.
Lajovic D.
6-36-4
Monfils G.
Gojo B.
1-66-26-4
Djere L.
Fognini F.
6-26-3
Darderi L.
Halys Q.
6-46-4
Comesana F.
Martinez P.
6-46-4
Fonseca J.
Moller E.
6-26-3
Norrie C.
Landaluce M.
6-747-56-4
Navone M.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-46-4
Bautista Agut R.
Munar J.
6-42-66-3
Cina F.
Wong C.
7-656-1
Opelka R.
Hijikata R.
7-57-5
Cerundolo J.
Kovacevic A.
3-67-56-2
Diallo G.
Bergs Z.
6-16-2
Mayot H.
Moutet C.
6-34-2
Cobolli F.
Marozsan F.
7-647-5
Struff J.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-52-64-1
Jarry N.
Altmaier D.
6-36-2
Bonzi B.
Cilic M.
6-36-2
Nishikori K.
Vukic A.
6-43-66-3
Giron M.
Tien L.
6-11-67-64
Arnaldi M.
Coric B.
4-66-47-5