Alexander Zverev vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliRome Masters Round of 64

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#3ATP
2100ELO
2051Clay ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Zverev A.
6-2 6-1
Ugo Carabelli C.
Zverev A.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
210

Alexander Zverev defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-2 6-1 in the Rome Masters round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR32hardAlexander Zverev6-7(5) 6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve advantage — Zverev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Zverev A.Ugo Carabelli C.
64
Serve
24
57
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (110 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
90
Break points won·Dominant
90
62
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+311 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Clay Elo 1741
9.1Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.8
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
45
97

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%