Alexander Bublik vs Roman Safiullin — Rome Masters Round of 128

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
Roman Safiullin
RUS
Roman Safiullin
#132ATP
1750ELO
1754Clay ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Bublik A.
6-3 7-6
Safiullin R.
Bublik A.
6772
Safiullin R.
3640

Alexander Bublik defeated Roman Safiullin 6-3 7-6 in the Rome Masters round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 64. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Roman Safiullin in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardRoman Safiullin6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.Safiullin R.
55
Serve
—
51
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Safiullin R.
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.9
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Safiullin R.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
68
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Clear edge
67
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Safiullin R.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+68 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1754
6.9Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1750
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Safiullin R.
Freshness·Even
66
70

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%
Final
Alcaraz C.[3]
Sinner J.[1]
7-656-1
Semi-finals
Sinner J.[1]
Paul T.[11]
1-66-06-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Musetti L.[8]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[3]
Draper J.[5]
6-46-4
Paul T.[11]
Hurkacz H.[30]
7-646-3
Musetti L.[8]
Zverev A.[2]
7-616-4
Sinner J.[1]
Ruud C.[6]
6-06-1
R16
Musetti L.[8]
Medvedev D.[10]
7-56-4
Paul T.[11]
De Minaur A.[7]
7-56-3
Alcaraz C.[3]
Khachanov K.[23]
6-33-67-5
Zverev A.[2]
Fils A.[13]
7-636-1
Sinner J.[1]
Cerundolo F.[17]
7-626-3
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-36-4
Hurkacz H.[30]
Mensik J.[20]
7-654-67-65
Draper J.[5]
Moutet C.
1-66-46-3
R32
Ruud C.[6]
Berrettini M.[29]
7-52-0
Hurkacz H.[30]
Giron M.
6-31-66-1
Fils A.[13]
Tsitsipas S.[18]
2-66-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Machac T.[19]
6-36-756-4
Alcaraz C.[3]
Djere L.
7-626-2
Munar J.
Korda S.[22]
6-46-2
Medvedev D.[10]
Popyrin A.[24]
6-46-1
Draper J.[5]
Kopriva V.
6-46-3
De Minaur A.[7]
Dellien H.
6-46-4
Moutet C.
Rune H.[9]
7-55-77-64
Mensik J.[20]
Marozsan F.
6-47-62
Sinner J.[1]
De Jong J.
6-46-2
Khachanov K.[23]
Passaro F.
6-36-0
Cerundolo F.[17]
Ofner S.
6-26-4
Musetti L.[8]
Nakashima B.[28]
6-46-3
Zverev A.[2]
Gaubas V.
6-46-0
R64
De Minaur A.[7]
Nardi L.
6-47-5
Moutet C.
Humbert U.[21]
6-34-0
Giron M.
Fritz T.[4]
7-647-63
Popyrin A.[24]
Taberner C.
6-17-64
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[14]
7-56-3
Nakashima B.[28]
Thompson J.
W/O
Sinner J.[1]
Navone M.
6-36-4
Marozsan F.
Rublev A.[16]
7-54-66-3
Khachanov K.[23]
Burruchaga R.
6-45-76-1
Munar J.
Shelton B.[12]
6-26-1
Djere L.
Michelsen A.[31]
6-06-3
Draper J.[5]
Darderi L.
6-16-4
Tsitsipas S.[18]
Muller A.
6-27-63
Ruud C.[6]
Bublik A.
6-44-66-3
Dellien H.
Seyboth Wild T.
4-66-36-4
De Jong J.
Davidovich Fokina A.[25]
6-06-2
Korda S.[22]
Vukic A.
6-36-4
Mensik J.[20]
Gigante M.
7-647-5
Kopriva V.
Baez S.[32]
3-66-46-4
Medvedev D.[10]
Norrie C.
6-46-2
Paul T.[11]
Bautista Agut R.
6-16-4
Machac T.[19]
Tien L.
6-46-4
Musetti L.[8]
Virtanen O.
6-36-2
Rune H.[9]
Comesana F.
3-66-36-4
Zverev A.[2]
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-26-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Lajovic D.
6-36-3
Gaubas V.
Shapovalov D.[27]
6-36-4
Berrettini M.[29]
Fearnley J.
6-47-60
Hurkacz H.[30]
Martinez P.
6-17-5
Fils A.[13]
Griekspoor T.
6-26-2
Ofner S.
Tiafoe F.[15]
6-26-726-3
Cerundolo F.[17]
Jarry N.
7-646-3
R128
Ofner S.
Carballes Baena R.
6-30-0
Gigante M.
Rinderknech A.
7-647-64
Virtanen O.
Medjedovic H.
6-46-4
Passaro F.
Tseng C.
6-02-66-3
Giron M.
Diallo G.
3-66-36-4
De Jong J.
Shevchenko A.
6-26-4
Norrie C.
Oconnell C.
6-36-2
Griekspoor T.
Kecmanovic M.
4-66-36-0
Navone M.
Cina F.
6-36-3
Darderi L.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-3
Vukic A.
Moreno De Alboran N.
7-626-2
Muller A.
Lehecka J.
2-66-37-65
Seyboth Wild T.
Borges N.
6-14-66-4
Ugo Carabelli C.
Carreno Busta P.
6-21-66-3
Jarry N.
Gaston H.
7-646-4
Comesana F.
Altmaier D.
6-17-5
Lajovic D.
Nishioka Y.
7-56-1
Munar J.
Barrios Vera T.
4-66-27-5
Djere L.
Etcheverry T.
6-36-2
Tien L.
Opelka R.
6-47-611
Kopriva V.
Halys Q.
6-46-3
Gaubas V.
Dzumhur D.
7-632-66-4
Taberner C.
Kovacevic A.
6-31-67-5
Nardi L.
Cobolli F.
6-36-4
Fearnley J.
Fognini F.
6-26-3
Moutet C.
Hijikata R.
3-66-17-5
Martinez P.
Bellucci M.
6-46-2
Bautista Agut R.
Arnaldi M.
6-46-3
Burruchaga R.
Sonego L.
6-26-3
Bublik A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-64
Thompson J.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
3-66-37-65
Marozsan F.
Fonseca J.
6-37-64