Roman Safiullin vs Alexander BublikShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Safiullin R.
6-4 6-2
Bublik A.
Safiullin R.
662
Bublik A.
420

Roman Safiullin defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-2 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Roman Safiullin claimed a first win over Alexander Bublik in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR128clayAlexander Bublik6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Bublik A.
Serve
65
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (114 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
88
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Clear edge
44
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
6.7+133 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
2.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
2.4
Minutes 14d
6.8
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
70
66

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%