Nicolas Jarry vs Henrique RochaEstoril CH Round of 32

Estoril CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 April 2025
clay
#124ATP
1676ELO
1666Clay ELO
$197kYTD
$880kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Jarry N.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Rocha H.
Jarry N.
613662
Rocha H.
715341

Nicolas Jarry defeated Henrique Rocha 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Estoril CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Henrique Rocha came in ranked #124.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rocha H.

Rocha H.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (45 vs 95). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
48
45
Break points saved·Dominant
98
67
Break points won·Clear edge
4
25
Deciding sets·Even
57
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Clay Elo 1642
Surface ELO
4.8+25 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1676
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
2.2
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Rocha H.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast