Jasmine Paolini vs Jule NiemeierStuttgart Round of 16

Stuttgart · WTA · Round of 16
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#510WTA
1418ELO
1398Clay ELO
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
Paolini J.
6-1 7-5
Niemeier J.
Paolini J.
672
Niemeier J.
150

Jasmine Paolini defeated Jule Niemeier 6-1 7-5 in the Stuttgart round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jasmine Paolini came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-10Cluj NapocaQFhardJasmine Paolini7-5 7-5
2022-09-26ParmaR32clayJasmine Paolini5-7 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Niemeier J.

Niemeier J.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
40%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
8.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (73 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
12
Break points saved·Dominant
87
33
Break points won·Clear edge
99
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+458 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1398
10.0Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1418
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.6
Surface form
6.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 70%