Jasmine Paolini vs Jule NiemeierParma Round of 32

Parma · WTA · Round of 32
#15WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 September 2022
clay
#569WTA
1418ELO
1398Clay ELO
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
Paolini J.
5-7 6-4 6-2
Niemeier J.
Paolini J.
5662
Niemeier J.
7421

Jasmine Paolini defeated Jule Niemeier 5-7 6-4 6-2 in the Parma round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14StuttgartR16clayJasmine Paolini6-1 7-5
2022-10-10Cluj NapocaQFhardJasmine Paolini7-5 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Niemeier J.

Niemeier J.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
6.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
12
Break points saved·Dominant
87
33
Break points won·Clear edge
99
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
9
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
10.0+458 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1398
10.0Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1418
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
4.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
79

Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast