Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Andrey RublevBarcelona Round of 16

Barcelona · ATP · Round of 16
#23ATP
1893ELO
1813Clay ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-5 6-4
Rublev A.
Davidovich Fokina A.
762
Rublev A.
540

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Andrey Rublev 7-5 6-4 in the Barcelona round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 7–0, defending last year's round of 32. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina claimed a first win over Andrey Rublev in eight meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

07
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-11Rome MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2025-07-27Canada MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev6-7(3) 7-6(2) 3-0 RET
2024-09-26BeijingR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 7-5
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev7-6(10) 6-4
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev7-6(8) 6-3
2023-02-27DubaiR16hardAndrey Rublev1-6 7-6(6) 7-6(3)
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayAndrey Rublev7-5 6-1 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Davidovich Fokina A.Rublev A.
Serve
14
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
7.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
89
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
95
72
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1813
Surface ELO
5.4+59 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.4
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
8.4
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.7
Country comfort
5.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
93

Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 72%