Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Rublev A.
1-6 7-6 7-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Rublev A.
178772
Davidovich Fokina A.
666631

Andrey Rublev defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1-6 7-6 7-6 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending the title. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-11Rome MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4
2025-07-27Canada MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev6-7(3) 7-6(2) 3-0 RET
2025-04-14BarcelonaR16clayAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-5 6-4
2024-09-26BeijingR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 7-5
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev7-6(10) 6-4
2023-05-08Rome MastersR32clayAndrey Rublev7-6(8) 6-3
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR64clayAndrey Rublev7-5 6-1 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Davidovich Fokina A.
55
Serve
40
52
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
3.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
72
95
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+6 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1842
5.0Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1893
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
6.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
75

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%