Holger Rune vs Carlos Alcaraz — Barcelona Final

Barcelona · ATP · Final
Holger Rune
DEN6
Holger Rune
#81ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 April 2025
clay
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP1
Carlos Alcaraz
#3ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Rune H.
7-6 6-2
Alcaraz C.
Rune H.
7862
Alcaraz C.
6620

Holger Rune defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6 6-2 in the Barcelona final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz7-6(3) 6-4 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersQFhardHolger Rune6-3 6-6 RET
2021-11-08NextGen FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz4-3(6) 4-2 4-0
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Alcaraz C.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
57%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
63%
67%
Aces / match·Even
5.3
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Alcaraz C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
84
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Alcaraz C.
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Clay Elo 1729
Surface ELO
10.0+373 Clay Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.1
Surface form
9.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
4.4
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
9.2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Rune H.[6]
Alcaraz C.[1]
7-666-2
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Fils A.[7]
6-26-4
Rune H.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-36-2
Quarter-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
De Minaur A.[5]
7-56-3
Khachanov K.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-47-5
Fils A.[7]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
2-0
Rune H.[6]
Ruud C.[2]
6-46-2
R16
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Korda S.
7-646-4
De Minaur A.[5]
Fearnley J.
6-16-2
Ruud C.[2]
Medjedovic H.
7-57-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Djere L.
6-26-4
Rune H.[6]
Baez S.
4-66-16-2
Davidovich Fokina A.
Rublev A.[4]
7-56-4
Khachanov K.
Munar J.
7-56-4
Fils A.[7]
Martinez P.
6-36-2
R32
Rublev A.[4]
De Jong J.
6-16-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Quinn E.
6-27-66
Djere L.
Rinderknech A.
6-726-16-2
Munar J.
Tiafoe F.[9]
2-67-56-1
Rune H.[6]
Ramos A.
7-56-4
Baez S.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-5
Ruud C.[2]
Galan D.
6-46-3
Medjedovic H.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-57-66
Davidovich Fokina A.
Wawrinka S.
6-16-4
Khachanov K.
Norrie C.
6-736-46-3
Fils A.[7]
Carreno Busta P.
7-666-3
Martinez P.
Nakashima B.
7-55-76-4
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Opelka R.
6-26-2
De Minaur A.[5]
Etcheverry T.
6-46-4
Fearnley J.
Carballes Baena R.
6-17-5
Korda S.
Arnaldi M.
3-66-36-2