Holger Rune vs Carlos AlcarazParis Masters Quarter-final

Paris Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#2ATP
2162ELO
2088Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Rune H.
6-3 6-6
Alcaraz C.
Rune H.
66
Alcaraz C.
36

Holger Rune advanced when Carlos Alcaraz retired 6-3 6-6 in the Paris Masters quarter-final. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14BarcelonaFclayHolger Rune7-6(6) 6-2
2023-07-03WimbledonQFgrassCarlos Alcaraz7-6(3) 6-4 6-4
2021-11-08NextGen FinalsRRhardCarlos Alcaraz4-3(6) 4-2 4-0

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Alcaraz C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Alcaraz C.
47
Serve
74
58
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
57%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.9
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
98
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
84
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
10.0+364 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2162
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.9
Surface form
6.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%