Alejandro Tabilo vs Novak DjokovicMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#33ATP
1819ELO
1781Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#8ATP
2059ELO
1959Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Tabilo A.
6-3 6-4
Djokovic N.
Tabilo A.
662
Djokovic N.
340

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Novak Djokovic 6-3 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, defending last year's semi-final. Alejandro Tabilo extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02AthensR16hardNovak Djokovic7-6(3) 6-1
2024-05-06Rome MastersR32clayAlejandro Tabilo6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Tabilo A.Djokovic N.
83
Serve
33
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.0
8.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
99
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Dominant
59
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1781
Surface ELO
7.3+178 Clay Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 2059
10.0
H2H
0.0
1.3
Surface form
9.4
0.0
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.1
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
49

Tabilo A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Djokovic N.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%