Alejandro Tabilo vs Novak DjokovicRome Masters Round of 32

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#33ATP
1819ELO
1781Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#8ATP
2059ELO
1959Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Tabilo A.
6-2 6-3
Djokovic N.
Tabilo A.
662
Djokovic N.
230

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Novak Djokovic 6-2 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #8, defending last year's quarter-final, but Alejandro Tabilo had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Alejandro Tabilo extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02AthensR16hardNovak Djokovic7-6(3) 6-1
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR32clayAlejandro Tabilo6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Tabilo A.Djokovic N.
83
Serve
33
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
56%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Even
6.9
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 103). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
99
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Dominant
59
99
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1781
Surface ELO
7.3+178 Clay Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 2059
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.6
Surface form
8.5
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
42

Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Djokovic N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 127 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%