Lorenzo Musetti vs Matteo BerrettiniMonte Carlo Masters Round of 16

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#51ATP
1831ELO
1790Clay ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Musetti L.
6-3 6-3
Berrettini M.
Musetti L.
662
Berrettini M.
330

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-3 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 16. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-10StuttgartSFgrassMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-0
2022-10-17NaplesFhardLorenzo Musetti7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Musetti L.Berrettini M.
35
Serve
51
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.6
8.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 55). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
81
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
82
53
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
91
Tiebreaks·Even
95
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+63 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1790
6.7Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
10.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%