Matteo Berrettini vs Lorenzo MusettiStuttgart Semi-final

Stuttgart · ATP · Semi-final
#51ATP
1831ELO
1739Grass ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 June 2024
grass
#15ATP
1869ELO
1750Grass ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Berrettini M.
6-4 6-0
Musetti L.
Berrettini M.
662
Musetti L.
400

Matteo Berrettini defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-4 6-0 in the Stuttgart semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Matteo Berrettini claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-3
2022-10-17NaplesFhardLorenzo Musetti7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (105 vs 155). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
81
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
53
82
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.6Grass Elo 1739
Surface ELO
6.4+11 Grass Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.5
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Berrettini M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast