Tatjana Maria vs Lucrezia StefaniniPuerto Vallarta 125 Round of 32

Puerto Vallarta 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#76WTA
1703ELO
1608Hard ELO
38 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 March 2025
hard
#145WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Maria T.
6-2 6-2
Stefanini L.
Maria T.
662
Stefanini L.
22

Tatjana Maria defeated Lucrezia Stefanini 6-2 6-2 in the Puerto Vallarta 125 round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tatjana Maria came in ranked #76. Tatjana Maria claimed a first win over Lucrezia Stefanini in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardLucrezia Stefanini3-6 7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Maria T.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Stefanini L.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Maria T.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Maria T.Stefanini L.
9
Serve
13
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 82). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
13
32
Break points saved·Slight edge
31
26
Break points won·Clear edge
78
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
9
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+111 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1497
5.9Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1527
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.5
Surface form
6.6
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.9
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
86

Maria T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 81 games (7d) · Stefanini L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast