Frances Tiafoe vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Tiafoe F.
7-5 7-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Tiafoe F.
7772
Davidovich Fokina A.
5650

Frances Tiafoe defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 7-5 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AcapulcoR16hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-3 6-7(6) 6-3
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 7-6(6)
2022-04-25EstorilQFclayFrances Tiafoe7-6(5) 5-7 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Davidovich Fokina A.
38
Serve
40
37
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.5
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (68 vs 85). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
83
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
57
95
Deciding sets·Even
92
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+19 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1842
5.0Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1893
4.6
H2H
5.4
4.8
Surface form
7.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
8.9
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.3
Country comfort
4.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
72
70

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%