Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances TiafoeAcapulco Round of 16

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 16
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
hard
#17ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-3 6-7 6-3
Tiafoe F.
Davidovich Fokina A.
66662
Tiafoe F.
37831

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-7 6-3 in the Acapulco round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina claimed a first win over Frances Tiafoe in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe7-5 7-6(5)
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 7-6(6)
2022-04-25EstorilQFclayFrances Tiafoe7-6(5) 5-7 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Tiafoe F.
40
Serve
38
53
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.7
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
83
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
95
57
Deciding sets·Even
90
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1842
Surface ELO
5.1+19 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1918
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.8
Surface form
4.4
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
79
79

Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 67%