Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jan Lennard StruffMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-6 6-3
Struff J.
Davidovich Fokina A.
7762
Struff J.
6330

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Jan Lennard Struff 7-6 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, defending last year's round of 32. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina claimed a first win over Jan Lennard Struff in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12RotterdamR32hardJan Lennard Struff4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Struff J.
40
Serve
36
53
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
61
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
95
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+208 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1634
7.3Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1694
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.6
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
4.2
Country comfort
4.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
59

Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Struff J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%