Jan Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaRotterdam Round of 32

Rotterdam · ATP · Round of 32
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 February 2024
hard
#23ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Struff J.
4-6 7-6 7-6
Davidovich Fokina A.
Struff J.
477772
Davidovich Fokina A.
665641

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 4-6 7-6 7-6 in the Rotterdam round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Jan Lennard Struff claimed a first win over Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersR128hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina7-6(3) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Struff J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Davidovich Fokina A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Struff J.Davidovich Fokina A.
36
Serve
40
40
Return
53

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (121 vs 128). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
21
95
Deciding sets·Clear edge
68
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
94
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1634
Surface ELO
7.5+208 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1893
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.1
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
75

Struff J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d) · Davidovich Fokina A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
8°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 85%