Lucrezia Stefanini vs Cristina BucsaMiami Qualifying Round 1

Miami · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#163WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Stefanini L.
6-4 1-6 6-3
Bucsa C.
Stefanini L.
6162
Bucsa C.
4631

Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Cristina Bucsa 6-4 1-6 6-3 in the Miami qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cristina Bucsa came in ranked #35.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Stefanini L.serving44% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Stefanini L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stefanini L.Bucsa C.
Serve
22
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
32
60
Break points saved·Dominant
26
79
Break points won·Even
96
93
Deciding sets·Slight edge
61
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
19
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1497
Surface ELO
7.6+213 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1722
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

Stefanini L.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast