Peyton Stearns vs Katie Boulter — Miami Round of 128

Miami · WTA · Round of 128
Peyton Stearns
USA
Peyton Stearns
#63WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 18 March 2025
hard
Katie Boulter
GBR
Katie Boulter
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Stearns P.
6-4 6-2
Boulter K.
Stearns P.
662
Boulter K.
420

Peyton Stearns defeated Katie Boulter 6-4 6-2 in the Miami round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katie Boulter came in ranked #60, defending last year's round of 16. Peyton Stearns extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

2–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR32hardPeyton Stearns6-4 6-3
2023-02-27AustinR32hardPeyton Stearns7-6(5) 6-7(2) 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Stearns P.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stearns P.Boulter K.
34
Serve
21
37
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Stearns P.Boulter K.
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Stearns P.Boulter K.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
87
Break points saved·Even
90
86
Break points won·Slight edge
98
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
94
Tiebreaks·Even
90
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Stearns P.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Boulter K.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1755
Surface ELO
5.6+40 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1831
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.9
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Stearns P.Boulter K.
Freshness·Even
96
98

Stearns P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Boulter K.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Pegula J.[4]
7-56-2
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-2
Pegula J.[4]
Eala A.
7-635-76-3
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Zheng Q.[9]
6-27-5
Paolini J.[6]
Linette M.
6-36-2
Eala A.
Swiatek I.[2]
6-27-5
Pegula J.[4]
Raducanu E.
6-46-736-2
R16
Eala A.
Badosa P.[10]
W/O
Zheng Q.[9]
Krueger A.
6-27-63
Paolini J.[6]
Osaka N.
3-66-46-4
Linette M.
Gauff C.[3]
6-46-4
Swiatek I.[2]
Svitolina E.[22]
7-656-3
Raducanu E.
Anisimova A.[17]
6-16-3
Pegula J.[4]
Kostyuk M.[23]
6-26-3
Sabalenka A.[1]
Collins D.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Paolini J.[6]
Jabeur O.[31]
4-3
Raducanu E.
Kessler M.
6-13-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Ruse E.
6-10-0
Osaka N.
Baptiste H.
7-663-66-4
Anisimova A.[17]
Andreeva M.[11]
7-652-66-3
Collins D.[14]
Masarova R.
6-43-66-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Mertens E.[27]
7-626-1
Svitolina E.[22]
Muchova K.[15]
6-23-66-2
Pegula J.[4]
Kalinskaya A.[32]
6-736-27-62
Badosa P.[10]
Tauson C.[20]
6-37-63
Eala A.
Keys M.[5]
6-46-2
Linette M.
Fruhvirtova L.
7-56-4
Krueger A.
Fernandez L.[26]
6-17-5
Gauff C.[3]
Sakkari M.[28]
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[9]
Townsend T.
6-17-63
Kostyuk M.[23]
Blinkova A.
6-26-1
R64
Muchova K.[15]
Azarenka V.
6-00-0
Townsend T.
Putintseva Y.[19]
7-621-66-1
Andreeva M.[11]
Kudermetova V.
6-06-2
Gauff C.[3]
Kenin S.
6-06-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Navarro E.[8]
7-662-67-63
Paolini J.[6]
Sramkova R.
6-46-4
Tauson C.[20]
Grabher J.
6-47-5
Eala A.
Ostapenko J.[25]
7-627-5
Svitolina E.[22]
Bencic B.
6-16-2
Kalinskaya A.[32]
Uchijima M.
6-16-3
Zheng Q.[9]
Davis L.
6-17-5
Kostyuk M.[23]
Birrell K.
7-54-66-3
Osaka N.
Samsonova L.[24]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[18]
7-656-2
Anisimova A.[17]
Sherif M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[5]
Avanesyan E.
6-36-3
Fernandez L.[26]
Parks A.
7-616-3
Collins D.[14]
Cirstea S.
6-47-63
Sabalenka A.[1]
Tomova V.
6-36-0
Sakkari M.[28]
Bronzetti L.
6-35-76-4
Ruse E.
Frech M.[29]
6-46-4
Baptiste H.
Kasatkina D.[12]
3-66-47-5
Masarova R.
Vekic D.[21]
6-16-3
Mertens E.[27]
Stearns P.
6-46-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Garcia C.
6-27-5
Badosa P.[10]
Mboko V.
7-51-67-63
Pegula J.[4]
Pera B.
6-46-4
Blinkova A.
Shnaider D.[13]
6-47-60
Kessler M.
Noskova L.[30]
2-67-57-64
Jabeur O.[31]
Siniakova K.
6-47-67
Krueger A.
Rybakina E.[7]
6-42-66-4
R128
Parks A.
Gracheva V.
3-67-606-3
Bronzetti L.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-3
Ruse E.
Kudermetova P.
6-16-756-2
Kudermetova V.
Wang X.
6-27-65
Townsend T.
Li A.
3-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Lamens S.
6-46-3
Blinkova A.
Rakhimova K.
4-66-36-2
Raducanu E.
Ishii S.
6-26-1
Grabher J.
Grant T.
6-46-4
Mboko V.
Osorio C.
7-55-76-3
Stearns P.
Boulter K.
6-46-2
Bencic B.
Yastremska D.
6-41-67-5
Azarenka V.
Kalinina A.
6-36-1
Garcia C.
Bondar A.
6-07-65
Sherif M.
Sun L.
7-51-66-4
Baptiste H.
Danilovic O.
6-36-756-1
Krueger A.
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Cirstea S.
Cocciaretto E.
6-37-65
Kenin S.
Kvitova P.
6-47-5
Tomova V.
Mcnally C.
6-32-66-3
Davis L.
Ito A.
6-43-66-4
Masarova R.
Minnen G.
6-746-47-5
Birrell K.
Potapova A.
3-66-37-65
Pera B.
Tomljanovic A.
6-36-2
Kessler M.
Bouzkova M.
6-42-66-4
Siniakova K.
Yuan Y.
6-22-67-64
Fruhvirtova L.
Liu C.
7-54-66-3
Linette M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
7-636-2
Eala A.
Volynets K.
6-37-63
Avanesyan E.
Andreeva E.
6-16-746-4
Sramkova R.
Stefanini L.
3-66-16-3
Osaka N.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-46-3