Peyton Stearns vs Katie BoulterAustin Round of 32

Austin · WTA · Round of 32
#63WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#60WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWLW
Stearns P.
7-6 6-7 7-6
Boulter K.
Stearns P.
7762772
Boulter K.
6577651

Peyton Stearns defeated Katie Boulter 7-6 6-7 7-6 in the Austin round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Katie Boulter came in ranked #60. Peyton Stearns extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-18MiamiR128hardPeyton Stearns6-4 6-2
2023-08-28US OpenR32hardPeyton Stearns6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Stearns P.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Boulter K.

Boulter K.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Stearns P.Boulter K.
34
Serve
21
37
Return
67

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.5
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 156). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
87
Break points saved·Even
90
86
Break points won·Slight edge
98
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
51
94
Tiebreaks·Even
90
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 189 days (−1.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1755
Surface ELO
5.6+40 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
98

Stearns P.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Boulter K.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast