Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Roman Andres BurruchagaAsuncion CH Quarter-final

Asuncion CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#294ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 March 2025
clay
#67ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-3 6-4
Burruchaga R.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
662
Burruchaga R.
340

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-3 6-4 in the Asuncion CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Roman Andres Burruchaga came in ranked #67, defending last year's semi-final, but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida had been the form player, winning 7 of their last 8 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 53% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Burruchaga R.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Pucinelli De Almeida M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 114). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
66
Break points saved·Dominant
36
68
Break points won·Dominant
43
73
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
84
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.4Clay Elo 1404
Surface ELO
9.6+290 Clay Elo edge
0.2Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
9.8Overall Elo 1711
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
4.2
Surface form
3.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.2
Minutes 14d
9.0
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
65
94

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d) · Burruchaga R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast